Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Presidential Election Map Speculations, Ponderings, Notions, Spit-Balling, And So Forth...


THINGS ABOUT WHICH HASSLINGTON IS CERTAIN...

* If Senator Obama fails to win BOTH Michigan and Pennsylvania, he will lose the election.
* If Senator McCain fails to win BOTH Florida and Ohio, he will lose the election.
* If Senator Obama wins BOTH Michigan and Pennsylvania, and if Senator McCain wins BOTH Florida and Ohio, the national electoral outcome will be very close.

THINGS ABOUT WHICH HASSLINGTON IS FAIRLY CERTAIN...

* If Senator McCain fails to win BOTH North Carolina and Virginia, he will probably lose the election.
* If Senator Obama fails to win BOTH Minnesota and Wisconsin, he will probably lose the election.
* If Senator McCain fails to win BOTH Indiana and Missouri, he will probably lose the election.
* If Senator Obama fails to win BOTH Iowa and Oregon, he will probably lose the election.
* If one of the candidates wins BOTH Nevada and New Mexico, that candidate will probably win the election.

POSSIBLE GAME-CHANGERS...

* Colorado and New Hampshire, particularly if one of the candidates wins BOTH of them, which could go a long way toward helping that candidate win the election.

DOUBTFUL BUT STILL POSSIBLE "WOWSER!" SCENARIOS...

* Senator McCain pulls off a win in any ONE of the following:  any one of Maine's electoral votes [ME and NE give out electoral votes differently than the other states]; Washington state.
* Senator Obama pulls off a win in any ONE of the following:  Georgia; Mississippi; Montana; Nebraska's Omaha-area electoral district [ME and NE give out electoral votes differently than the other states]; North Dakota; West Virginia.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Chris
I have found my way to your blog. keep up the good work. This might be the place to start an American Fabian Society
Mike

Anonymous said...

Chris
Yes it is mike fabian the Saturday night Brit

Hasslington said...

Mike--

I've been out of town (but still blogging) for the past two weeks, but I'm back at the homestead today. I'll probably see you again in the coming weeks. Thanks for your comments.